Is Weakness In Corporate Travel Management Limited (ASX:CTD) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

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Corporate Travel Management (ASX:CTD) has had a rough month with its share price down 32%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Corporate Travel Management’s ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Corporate Travel Management

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Corporate Travel Management is:

14% = AU$84m ÷ AU$608m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

The ‘return’ is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn A$0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we’ve learnt that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Corporate Travel Management’s Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To start with, Corporate Travel Management’s ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company’s ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.8%. This probably laid the ground for Corporate Travel Management’s significant 26% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. Such as – high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Corporate Travel Management’s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 10% in the same period, which is great to see.

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Corporate Travel Management is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Corporate Travel Management Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Corporate Travel Management’s significant three-year median payout ratio of 52% (where it is retaining only 48% of its income) suggests that the company has been able to achieve a high growth in earnings despite returning most of its income to shareholders.

Additionally, Corporate Travel Management has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 51%. Regardless, Corporate Travel Management’s ROE is speculated to decline to 10% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Corporate Travel Management’s performance. Especially the high ROE, Which has contributed to the impressive growth seen in earnings. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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